Dallas loses to Buffalo or Miami
– Dallas is likely dead for the division. In this scenario, we’d need need the Eagles to lose to the Giants so we would beat them out using the divisional tiebreaker. A loss to Buffalo or Miami puts us behind the Eagles in common games and we’d need them to lose both the Seahawks and Cards games so we could either finish one game clear or them or win the common games tiebreaker.
Dallas loses to Detroit
– Dallas can still win the common games tiebreaker as long as Philly loses to Seattle or the Cards. Detroit isn’t a common game so a loss there isn’t crushing as long as Philly loses a common game (or one of the Giants games)
Dallas loses to Washington
– Again, Dallas is likely dead. We would need the Eagles to lose one of the Giants games (or both) and then hope they lose one of the Cards or Seahawks games (while not dropping one of the Buffalo or Miami games)
Unfortunately, our two toughest games, both on the road, are games we likely can absolutely NOT lose given they are common games and Philly beat both. If we drop one of the Buffalo or Miami games, the help we would need from Philly is really, really tough.
