Why “last year” is not as relevant in the NFL

What happened last year in the NFL is usually not that relevant the following year. Obviously a few teams are consistent but not as many as I thought. We as Cowboys fans have to hope the Cowboys in 2023 will make the playoffs for the third straight year for the first time since the mid-90s.

Since 1990 – over 30+ seasons – a minimum of 4 teams that made the playoffs the prior year do not make the playoffs the following year. Sometimes more. In the 2022 season, a whopping 8 of the 14 teams that made the playoffs, were not in the playoffs the year before in 2021. That’s nearly 60%! I’ve been saying for years, the NFL is extremely hard to predict.

When I look at all the preseason rankings and predictions by all the sports media gurus, just remember that it’s very possible that half of the teams they are predicting making the playoffs won’t.

I really like this year’s Cowboys roster. On paper, it’s the best we’ve had since probably 2007. I think we should make the playoffs. But when I look at our schedule before the season even starts, it’s very hard to predict wins and losses. Why? Because we don’t know who the minimum of 4 teams will be that are better than last year, nor do we know which teams will be worse than last year.

Honestly, I LOVE the unpredictability of the NFL! Enjoy the ride. The only guarantee I will make is that there will be surprises. So glad the real season is about to start. GO COWBOYS!

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